Estimate per-patient and annual savings from functional swallowing improvement in neurological inpatients, based on Bayesian posterior predictions stratified by geriatric status.
| Cohort | Mean savings / patient | 95% CrI |
|---|---|---|
| Non-geriatric | – | – |
| Geriatric | – | – |
| Weighted average | – | – |
| Approach | Weighted mean / patient | 95% CrI | P(savings > 0) |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOS-derived | – | – | – |
| Direct cost model | – | – | – |
These are two independent Bayesian estimates of the same effect. The LOS-derived approach multiplies posterior LOS reduction by a bed-day rate. The direct cost model estimates cost differences from a separate Gamma-log regression. Do not add them together.